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US: Impact of COVID-19 on estimated demand for public transport in the San Francisco Bay Area [free access]

June 1, 2020

The number of COVID-19 cases in the San Francisco Bay Area has doubled within five weeks. As of June 1, 2020, there were around 14,000 COVID-19 cases in the San Francisco Bay Area. Across multiple public transport services, the estimated demand for public transport has contracted by over 70 per cent. In the case of services such as Capitol Corridor, PresidiGo Shuttle, Bear Transit (a bus service operated by the Department of Parking and Transportation of the University of California), San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (SFMTA), and AC Transit, the estimated demand for services has contracted by around 90 per cent.

 

The table below provides information about the estimated decline in the demand for public transport in the San Francisco Bay Area.

 

Table: Impact of COVID-19 on estimated demand for public transport in San Francisco Bay Area (in per cent)

Date

VTA

Caltrain

Capitol Corridor

County Connection

BART

PresidiGo

Bear Transit

SFMTA

SamTrans

Golden Gate Transit

AC Transit

May 1 

-88

-82

-92

-78

-89

-92

-98

-91

-82

-88

-93

May 2 

-80

-76

-94

-67

-87

-86

-98

-89

-80

-84

-90

May 3 

-79

-78

-98

-68

-86

-87

-98

-88

-78

-83

-90

May 4 

-89

-82

-94

-79

-88

-90

-97

-91

-81

-86

-93

May 5 

-88

-83

-91

-81

-88

-91

-98

-92

-82

-88

-93

May 6 

-88

-82

-90

-78

-88

-91

-98

-91

-82

-88

-92

May 7 

-89

-82

-90

-79

-88

-92

-98

-92

-83

-88

-93

May 8 

-88

-81

-90

-78

-88

-92

-98

-91

-81

-87

-92

May 9 

-79

-78

-93

-65

-85

-86

-98

-88

-78

-81

-88

May 10

-78

-77

-97

-69

-85

-87

-98

-88

-79

-80

-89

May 11

-88

-81

-94

-77

-87

-89

-97

-91

-81

-86

-92

May 12

-89

-82

-91

-83

-88

-90

-98

-92

-82

-88

-92

May 13

-88

-83

-91

-84

-89

-93

-98

-92

-84

-89

-93

May 14

-89

-84

-90

-83

-89

-94

-98

-92

-84

-88

-92

May 15

-87

-82

-91

-80

-88

-91

-97

-90

-81

-86

-92

May 16

-80

-77

-92

-72

-84

-84

-97

-88

-78

-82

-87

May 17

-80

-78

-97

-76

-84

-86

-97

-88

-79

-83

-87

May 18

-86

-79

-92

-73

-84

-85

-96

-89

-78

-83

-90

May 19

-88

-82

-91

-84

-87

-89

-96

-91

-80

-86

-92

May 20

-88

-85

-91

-81

-88

-93

-97

-91

-83

-88

-92

May 21

-88

-84

-90

-81

-87

-93

-97

-91

-82

-88

-92

May 22

-87

-83

-90

-80

-86

-87

-97

-89

-80

-85

-91

May 23

-80

-76

-93

-71

-84

-87

-96

-87

-77

-81

-87

May 24

-78

-77

-98

-66

-82

-85

-95

-86

-77

-79

-86

May 25

-88

-80

-98

-90

-84

-88

-96

-89

-77

-84

-90

May 26

-88

-83

-94

-81

-85

-89

-95

-90

-80

-86

-90

May 27

-88

-84

-91

-81

-87

-90

-96

-90

-81

-87

-91

May 28

-87

-83

-89

-82

-87

-92

-96

-90

-83

-87

-90

May 29

-86

-82

-90

-78

-86

-91

-96

-89

-80

-85

-90

May 30

-79

-77

-94

-77

-84

-89

-95

-87

-77

-82

-86

May 31

-79

-75

-97

-66

-80

-86

-93

-85

-72

-78

-83

Note: BART- Bay Area Rapid Transit; VTA- Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority

Source: Transit app (transitapp.com/coronavirus)

 

The figure below provides information about the estimated change in the demand for public transport between June 1 and June 8.

 

Figure: Estimated change in the demand for public transport between June 1 and June 8

Source: Transit app (transitapp.com/coronavirus)